|
|
WhenSo just when do eclipses occur? Why don't we see them more often? Exactly when did that solar eclipse that my grandmother remembers happen? And, more to the point, when will I next see an eclipse in my part of the world? The following pages answer all these questions and more:
The Next 5 Significant EclipsesThis list here shows the next 5 total and annular solar eclipses, and total and partial lunar eclipses. This is a quick reference for you to see what major events are coming up; but note that the lunar and solar eclipse lists show all eclipses up to 2020.
But When Will I See One?Quick answer:
One question that comes up often is: how often is an eclipse visible from a certain part of the Earth? The answer is different for different types of eclipse: Solar EclipsesIt would be easy to say that eclipses happen "at random", but that's not true, of course. Basically, the set of circumstances that lead to an eclipse is really complex. It's totally deterministic, in that it depends on the motions of the Earth and Moon, which are known precisely and which are totally predictable. That's why we can predict eclipses so far in advance. But it's so complex that the distribution of eclipses is effectively "random" -- ie. they're scattered all over the Earth with no easily discernable pattern. This means that two total solar eclipses can appear in the same place in one year, or a within few years -- or a given location may go thousands of years without seeing one. The average time between total solar eclipses in a given place is something like 360 years, but it's so variable that that doesn't really help much. Check out my solar eclipse listing for a list and maps of solar eclipses, and you'll see how they're popping up all over the place. The listing of UK eclipses on that page should give you an idea of what kind of a lottery it is for any given place. If you're interested, you can go on to read about the mechanics behind this. Lunar EclipsesLunar eclipses are different; since they occur on the Moon, any location on Earth that can see the Moon at the time can see the eclipse. This means that your chance of seeing a particular lunar eclipse is about 50-50. It's more complex than that, a little, because the Earth turns during the eclipse, but that's not far off. You can check out my lunar eclipse listing for maps showing where on Earth lunar eclipses can be seen from. You can read about how lunar eclipses work if you're still confused. And finally, my statistics page shows you how often particular types of eclipse occur. |
![]()
Copyright (C) 1995-2006 Ian Cameron Smith.
visits since 18Aug05.
Last modified: Sat May 3 11:44:36 PDT 2008 ($Revision: 1.14 $)